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Red127
120843.3
248144.5
175634.6
Blue114
170645.8
208115.9
86866.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11112450100150200127114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.50.7
45.346.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.8
868
#1
66.20.4
60.259.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1208
#11
43.30.7
38.939.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1706
#10
45.80.4
44.243.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1756
#35
34.60.7
28.729.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
2081
#48
15.90.6
17.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End