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Red45
313831.9
427210.2
405811.9
Blue63
469013.3
384420.5
326635.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3766020801001201404563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#21
31.90.2
27.127.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
35.50.1
31.531.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4058
#46
11.90.3
6.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
3844
#26
20.50.1
18.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4272
#32
10.20.2
7.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
4690
#19
13.30.1
11.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End