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Red103
313831.9
174148.0
394736.8
Blue86
101832.8
29219.4
355919.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1226205010015020010386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#15
48.00.5
48.848.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
32.80.7
30.731.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3947
#18
36.80.5
36.335.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
3559
#43
19.71.2
19.520.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3138
#21
31.90.5
27.226.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
292
#17
19.40.7
21.722.4
Auto
Teleop
End