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Red149
44749.6
93041.5
433017.9
Blue83
384420.5
27923.7
248144.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93855015020014983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#7
49.62.9
40.443.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
44.50.2
47.147.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
930
#3
41.52.9
36.539.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
279
#40
23.70.2
19.419.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4330
#34
17.92.9
14.817.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3844
#26
20.50.2
19.719.6
Auto
Teleop
End