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Red236
111493.2
205688.6
133461.9
Blue173
131066.9
6765.0
347661.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255179050100150200300350400236173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.20.1
93.192.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.3
66.90.3
66.265.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88.60.1
88.488.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.6
67
#10
65.00.3
64.364.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1334
#19
61.90.1
61.761.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3476
#36
61.40.3
60.760.4
Auto
Teleop
End