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Red260
111493.2
205688.6
133461.9
Blue251
131066.9
6765.0
347661.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255178050100150200300350400260251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.20.3
92.993.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.3
66.91.0
65.966.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88.60.3
88.388.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.6
67
#10
65.01.0
64.065.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1334
#19
61.90.3
61.661.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3476
#36
61.41.0
60.461.4
Auto
Teleop
End