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Red203
111493.2
205688.6
133461.9
Blue164
19563.0
153872.3
124166.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25319250100150300350400203164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.20.7
93.192.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
1538
#15
72.30.6
72.271.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88.60.7
88.487.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.8
1241
#41
66.70.6
66.766.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1334
#19
61.90.7
61.761.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
195
#9
63.00.6
63.062.3
Auto
Teleop
End