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Red188
19563.0
217543.6
159239.2
Blue103
2751.2
233851.7
5122.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140127050100200250300188103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#9
63.02.5
60.563.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
2338
#40
51.71.3
53.051.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2175
#56
43.62.5
41.143.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
27
#44
51.21.3
52.551.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1592
#52
39.22.5
36.739.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
51
#67
22.41.3
23.722.4
Auto
Teleop
End