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Red140
282647.2
46124.9
259059.5
Blue137
5122.4
173246.9
24566.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133122050100150200140137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#23
59.50.4
63.864.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
245
#12
66.70.7
56.557.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2826
#39
47.20.4
44.945.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1732
#35
46.90.7
44.745.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
461
#26
24.90.4
22.823.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
51
#67
22.40.7
22.322.9
Auto
Teleop
End