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Red55
1640.1
86250.7
190235.2
Blue213
69636.5
147757.3
233851.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144142608010012016018020055213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#30
50.74.4
59.254.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
1477
#37
57.33.6
64.167.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16
#20
40.14.4
43.539.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
2338
#40
51.73.6
43.046.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1902
#61
35.24.4
40.536.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
696
#42
36.53.6
34.838.4
Auto
Teleop
End