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Red147
4834.8
86250.7
131066.9
Blue145
174162.1
384741.1
217543.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163126050100200250300350147145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.5
61.560.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1741
#34
62.10.7
57.358.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
862
#30
50.70.5
54.854.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2175
#56
43.60.7
38.338.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
48
#16
34.80.5
41.240.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
3847
#53
41.10.7
36.036.7
Auto
Teleop
End