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Red108
347661.4
353950.2
245127.7
Blue126
46124.9
11159.5
69636.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148114050200250300108126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#36
61.41.7
60.959.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
111
#38
59.50.3
57.457.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3539
#57
50.21.7
56.454.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
696
#42
36.50.3
38.438.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2451
#49
27.71.7
25.724.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
461
#26
24.90.3
23.623.9
Auto
Teleop
End