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Red254
86873.2
259059.5
82957.0
Blue129
282647.2
159239.2
247448.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193107050150250300254129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
73.23.7
68.171.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.6
2474
#33
48.60.4
43.844.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2590
#23
59.53.7
61.264.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
2826
#39
47.20.4
42.442.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
829
#31
57.03.7
50.253.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
1592
#52
39.20.4
34.635.0
Auto
Teleop
End