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Red182
111493.2
4518.5
264855.5
Blue135
69636.5
205688.6
30339.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151176050100200250300350182135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.21.4
91.492.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
88.61.9
90.388.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.51.4
47.849.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
303
#62
39.11.9
43.841.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
45
#51
18.51.4
15.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
696
#42
36.51.9
38.136.2
Auto
Teleop
End