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Red113
98779.9
347661.4
30339.1
Blue120
21728.4
162544.4
4834.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20290050150250300350113120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#11
79.93.6
83.379.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.4
1625
#29
44.40.6
42.443.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3476
#36
61.43.6
59.255.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.6
48
#16
34.80.6
35.035.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
303
#62
39.13.6
41.938.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
217
#68
28.40.6
30.330.9
Auto
Teleop
End