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Red254
124166.7
233851.7
205688.6
Blue151
259059.5
150349.5
384741.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20814750100250300350254151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.62.8
85.888.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.0
2590
#23
59.50.3
64.964.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1241
#41
66.72.8
62.965.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
1503
#64
49.50.3
50.049.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2338
#40
51.72.8
49.852.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
3847
#53
41.10.3
41.441.2
Auto
Teleop
End