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Red150
12549.7
151118.0
12649.8
Blue126
8818.2
317342.8
84626.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12379050100150200150126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#4
49.80.6
49.249.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
42.80.7
42.242.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
125
#1
49.70.6
49.149.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
846
#3
26.90.9
26.026.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1511
#37
18.00.6
17.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
88
#41
18.20.7
17.518.2
Auto
Teleop
End