1511Rolling Thunder
Penfield, New York, USA
#438 of 2510 · 17-16 · 52% win rate
Finger Lakes Regional
Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2013
Woodie Flowers — Lawrence Lewis Jr.Dean's List — Ciana RobertsonGracious Professionalism
Rank 403-6| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 1 | 318122283003 | 384215112809 | 41–44 | 54% | 47–23 |
| Qual 15 | 15111585578 | 420315181450 | 40–34 | 54% | 30–23 |
| Qual 20 | 383848174 | 40933401511 | 57–52 | 53% | 67–28 |
| Qual 25 | 315745052265 | 112615111507 | 30–55 | 77% | 16–79 |
| Qual 34 | 15593687176 | 39511511378 | 41–52 | 65% | 81–62 |
| Qual 43 | 11111561511 | 25017651405 | 43–49 | 58% | 40–54 |
| Qual 55 | 31731911591 | 1741511907 | 61–41 | 78% | 33–20 |
| Qual 59 | 151122652228 | 37993403015 | 45–66 | 79% | 18–64 |
| Qual 67 | 234030151511 | 73145888 | 56–42 | 73% | 69–43 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 1 | 242310991153 | 317315111754 | 45–58 | 70% | 41–95 |
| Qual 15 | 110028714048 | 151128771973 | 54–40 | 74% | 69–21 |
| Qual 23 | 431141761511 | 47962079529 | 39–19 | 83% | 25–0 |
| Qual 28 | 38325232013 | 12519651511 | 54–69 | 76% | 55–107 |
| Qual 36 | 34662877246 | 8827131511 | 48–47 | 53% | 43–30 |
| Qual 45 | 1511233479 | 1474971973 | 51–30 | 85% | 14–65 |
| Qual 52 | 15113236229 | 392728762349 | 60–41 | 84% | 70–56 |
| Qual 63 | 395815114474 | 4761846501 | 42–46 | 57% | 30–37 |
| Qual 74 | 6913503479 | 226241511511 | 63–28 | 89% | 66–37 |
| Qual 83 | 12512688 | 147417681511 | 109–57 | 97% | 138–66 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 1-1 | 1511126125 | 476132362876 | 113–49 | 99% | 145–66 |
| Quarterfinal 1-2 | 1261251511 | 476128763236 | 114–50 | 99% | 137–44 |
| Semifinal 1-1 | 1261511125 | 37802291153 | 116–83 | 86% | 85–75 |
| Semifinal 1-2 | 1261511125 | 11533780229 | 114–82 | 86% | 134–125 |
| Finals | |||||
| Final 1 | 1251511126 | 317384688 | 115–87 | 85% | 129–69 |
| Final 2 | 1251511126 | 883173846 | 116–86 | 86% | 150–126 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 1 | 3413756180 | 482815114666 | 116–46 | 100% | 128–9 |
| Qual 24 | 1511252612 | 247116461410 | 96–94 | 54% | 83–89 |
| Qual 42 | 3031283931 | 2171951511 | 129–102 | 78% | 165–144 |
| Qual 65 | 205415111741 | 49244511899 | 128–98 | 79% | 121–149 |
| Qual 74 | 130515111515 | 792962283 | 58–71 | 64% | 82–52 |
| Qual 94 | 1411224487 | 1511153868 | 75–140 | 98% | 89–213 |
| Qual 106 | 22521511604 | 26192974190 | 90–123 | 80% | 162–130 |
| Qual 119 | 16711313802 | 205239971511 | 101–110 | 58% | 121–169 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 2 | 17715111099 | 2283654558 | 78–77 | 55% | 74–60 |
| Qual 5 | 2836237181 | 352515113654 | 52–66 | 59% | 65–53 |
| Qual 13 | 20641763718 | 6661511181 | 71–64 | 60% | 48–15 |
| Qual 15 | 283615113461 | 716178155 | 42–87 | 79% | 71–90 |
| Qual 19 | 15112067178 | 1951796181 | 71–112 | 73% | 54–135 |
| Qual 25 | 36542067571 | 10715581511 | 50–83 | 74% | 58–40 |
| Qual 30 | 35252304055 | 5711511176 | 79–70 | 62% | 78–50 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 2 | 3781450250 | 151115853003 | 88–63 | 79% | 21–6 |
| Qual 9 | 151122283951 | 37106393157 | 57–49 | 61% | 29–6 |
| Qual 15 | 403949303003 | 301514051511 | 87–82 | 58% | 74–40 |
| Qual 20 | 149315111559 | 151831812791 | 51–45 | 59% | 51–19 |
| Qual 28 | 15111507174 | 61030441334 | 64–152 | 97% | 59–117 |
| Qual 35 | 12411405340 | 1334201511 | 114–123 | 54% | 71–138 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 1-1 | 1916101511 | 37827914930 | 114–55 | 95% | 130–51 |
| Quarterfinal 1-2 | 1916101511 | 49302791378 | 115–55 | 96% | 192–72 |
| Semifinal 1-1 | 6101511191 | 30154001340 | 119–97 | 72% | 107–134 |
| Semifinal 1-2 | 6101911511 | 34030154001 | 118–99 | 70% | 131–105 |
| Semifinal 1-3 | 6101911511 | 40013015340 | 119–99 | 71% | 148–124 |
| Finals | |||||
| Final 1 | 6101511191 | 395140391334 | 120–120 | 54% | 61–128 |
| Final 2 | 6101511191 | 395140391334 | 117–121 | 52% | 73–141 |
