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Red121
205460.5
151128.6
174155.1
Blue149
49223.9
445143.3
189948.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13592050150200250121149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.3
60.760.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
1899
#49
48.52.5
41.343.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1741
#22
55.10.3
49.549.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
4451
#42
43.32.5
34.036.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1511
#55
28.60.3
17.617.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
492
#71
23.92.5
23.225.7
Auto
Teleop
End