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Red131
61062.3
19135.7
151117.2
Blue105
34028.3
301536.5
400135.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12395050150200250131105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
62.30.2
63.463.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.8
3015
Unranked
36.50.1
36.036.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
191
Unranked
35.70.2
36.837.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
4001
Unranked
35.80.1
35.335.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1511
Unranked
17.20.2
18.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
340
Unranked
28.30.1
27.827.9
Auto
Teleop
End