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Red121
167125.7
13144.9
380233.6
Blue169
205250.9
399741.3
151128.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99113050150200250121169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#36
44.91.0
44.044.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
50.92.9
49.452.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3802
#39
33.61.0
32.633.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
41.32.9
35.338.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1671
#68
25.71.0
24.725.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1511
#55
28.62.9
25.728.6
Auto
Teleop
End