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Red70
151118.0
323614.6
22937.5
Blue56
39277.6
287617.7
234922.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6437020801001207056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#14
37.50.5
31.732.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
2349
#35
22.11.2
16.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1511
#37
18.00.5
15.716.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2876
#20
17.71.2
13.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3236
#17
14.60.8
12.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3927
#27
7.61.2
11.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End