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Red96
47964.8
8818.2
395821.7
Blue24
175712.9
271311.5
5296.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283602060801009624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.73.3
13.717.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1757
#33
12.90.9
15.915.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88
#41
18.23.3
12.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
2713
#31
11.50.9
13.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4796
#46
4.85.5
3.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
529
#45
6.20.9
5.14.2
Auto
Teleop
End