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Red75
176819.8
196519.1
287717.4
Blue64
22937.5
17544.8
242321.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3859020801001207564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#16
19.82.8
12.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
229
#14
37.50.4
31.331.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1965
#21
19.12.8
14.717.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2423
#32
21.90.7
15.616.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2877
#23
17.41.7
13.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
1754
#48
4.80.7
8.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End