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Red11
36549.0
4678.2
287718.4
Blue19
216819.2
314611.6
8399.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385102060801001201119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#11
18.42.4
23.220.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2168
#10
19.22.5
21.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3654
#22
9.02.4
8.56.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3146
#38
11.62.5
11.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
467
#34
8.22.4
8.56.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
839
#27
9.42.5
15.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End