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Red142
17740.6
441014.3
320524.8
Blue37
455717.8
15518.1
328019.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5531020408010012014014237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#5
40.67.5
30.337.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
3280
#12
19.70.2
12.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
24.87.5
16.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
155
#13
18.10.2
13.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4410
#28
14.37.5
5.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
4557
#25
17.80.2
8.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End