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Red139
32942.8
170836.9
263835.9
Blue121
37532.0
138919.7
36539.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11983050100150200139121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#5
42.80.4
42.242.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
365
#6
39.50.5
38.639.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1708
#26
36.90.4
36.336.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
375
#3
32.00.5
31.131.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2638
#14
35.90.4
35.235.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
1389
#54
19.70.5
18.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End