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Red130
263835.9
170836.9
32942.8
Blue109
37532.0
138919.7
36539.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218550100150200130109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#5
42.80.3
42.642.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
365
#6
39.50.3
39.239.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1708
#26
36.90.3
36.736.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
375
#3
32.00.3
31.732.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2638
#14
35.90.3
35.635.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.2
1389
#54
19.70.3
19.419.7
Auto
Teleop
End