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Qual 112013 Chesapeake Regional
Red65
189529.0
394126.0
188525.9
Blue9
76816.4
296311.5
337315.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70440100150659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#12
29.00.1
22.8→22.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.6
768
#61
16.43.3
17.5→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3941
#17
26.00.1
21.6→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.2
3373
#57
15.92.6
19.3→16.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1885
#8
25.90.1
21.7→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.4
2963
#59
11.52.8
11.5→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—