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Qual 122013 Chesapeake Regional
Red16
450521.6
341921.0
217215.3
Blue36
284915.6
451415.3
264014.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52270204060801001201401636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4505
#24
21.62.0
15.8→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
2849
#30
15.60.3
7.9→8.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3419
#44
21.02.2
17.1→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.7
4514
#45
15.30.4
10.2→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2172
#58
15.31.8
15.4→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
2640
#46
14.30.3
12.6→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—