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Red26
428818.4
37937.5
454119.7
Blue107
263835.9
450521.6
264122.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4775010015026107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#19
19.72.0
21.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
2638
#14
35.91.8
31.032.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4288
#48
18.42.0
20.418.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
22.31.8
19.921.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3793
#50
7.52.0
9.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
4505
#24
21.61.8
19.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End