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Red25
138919.7
23816.2
463815.2
Blue97
341921.0
189529.0
296311.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555420304050607080902597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#54
19.71.4
19.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
1895
#12
29.02.1
26.929.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
238
#56
16.21.4
16.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
3419
#44
21.02.1
18.921.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4638
#36
15.22.2
17.515.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2963
#59
11.52.1
9.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End