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Red50
455520.0
238621.8
454611.8
Blue88
107123.2
456431.0
220017.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336502040801001201401605088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#17
21.80.6
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
4564
#14
31.02.4
24.326.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4555
#35
20.01.0
14.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1071
#15
23.21.4
20.521.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4546
#34
11.80.6
13.113.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
2200
#24
17.41.4
14.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End