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Red117
405519.7
6321.4
17637.7
Blue60
115340.7
352529.7
345112.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678005010015011760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#3
37.72.4
34.637.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
40.70.9
37.937.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63
#33
21.42.4
15.217.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
3525
#28
29.70.9
26.725.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4055
#12
19.72.4
19.521.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
3451
#37
12.51.2
13.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End