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Red40
359712.9
356617.5
393020.9
Blue58
360926.1
31924.0
105818.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4178020601001201401604058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3930
#10
20.90.4
19.719.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
3609
#11
26.10.7
31.731.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3566
#27
17.50.4
13.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
319
#23
24.00.7
23.022.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3597
#29
12.90.5
14.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1058
#30
18.60.7
17.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End