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Red131
46977.6
3368.4
90425.3
Blue109
81523.8
295954.4
57344.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18711150150200250300131109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
77.60.7
78.778.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.2
54.40.2
54.554.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33
#2
68.40.7
69.668.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.8
573
#3
44.60.2
44.744.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
#26
25.30.7
26.525.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
815
#29
23.80.2
23.923.7
Auto
Teleop
End