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Red146
46977.6
3368.4
90425.3
Blue131
295954.4
57344.6
81523.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18411150150200250300146131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
77.60.4
78.077.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.2
54.40.1
54.254.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33
#2
68.40.4
68.868.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.8
573
#3
44.60.1
44.444.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
904
#26
25.30.4
25.725.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
815
#29
23.80.1
23.723.8
Auto
Teleop
End