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Red157
277137.1
168441.8
86261.7
Blue187
247448.0
364144.6
267342.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13411850100150200157187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
61.71.3
53.354.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
2474
#27
48.03.3
44.848.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1684
#55
41.81.3
43.945.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3641
#24
44.63.3
43.546.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2771
#35
37.11.3
34.435.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
2673
#41
42.23.3
32.335.6
Auto
Teleop
End