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Red169
353953.1
360443.3
214549.8
Blue145
357249.9
57351.2
2748.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117130050100150200250169145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#15
53.12.5
48.350.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
573
#22
51.20.8
45.946.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.82.5
36.038.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3572
#33
49.90.8
39.340.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3604
#44
43.32.5
34.737.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
27
#29
48.40.8
42.843.7
Auto
Teleop
End