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Red189
205461.9
261252.2
285136.2
Blue125
261132.3
439132.3
6849.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14010250200189125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.92.7
59.261.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
68
#54
49.80.8
46.947.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2612
#10
52.22.7
42.645.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
4391
#57
32.30.8
29.530.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2851
#11
36.22.7
32.535.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2611
#49
32.30.8
31.832.7
Auto
Teleop
End