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Red113
54829.7
50339.3
102334.3
Blue149
438135.5
276742.5
49450.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89128050150200250113149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#20
39.30.9
32.233.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
494
#17
50.41.4
48.549.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1023
#37
34.30.9
35.236.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
2767
#32
42.51.4
37.939.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
548
#40
29.70.9
27.428.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
4381
#38
35.51.4
35.236.6
Auto
Teleop
End