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Red139
191858.5
21741.1
261132.3
Blue120
276742.5
360235.1
357249.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111121050150200250300139120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.51.3
48.449.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
3572
#33
49.90.0
43.643.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
#42
41.11.3
32.433.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2767
#32
42.50.0
39.639.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2611
#49
32.31.3
31.432.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3602
#63
35.10.0
36.236.2
Auto
Teleop
End