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Red126
205461.9
437716.2
5145.1
Blue131
86261.7
85728.5
170134.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281136080100120140160180200220126131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.0
64.864.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
862
#14
61.70.8
58.158.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
51
#34
45.10.0
45.445.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
1701
#18
34.70.8
30.731.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4377
#59
16.20.0
15.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
857
#56
28.50.8
26.527.3
Auto
Teleop
End