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Red146
276742.5
261252.2
85834.5
Blue101
360235.1
171855.9
277137.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115139050100200250146101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#10
52.21.3
45.847.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
55.91.7
60.859.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2767
#32
42.51.3
39.641.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
2771
#35
37.11.7
38.636.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
858
#62
34.51.3
33.835.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3602
#63
35.11.7
36.234.5
Auto
Teleop
End