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Red125
360443.3
50339.3
28025.6
Blue173
86261.7
118951.9
261132.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81157050100200250125173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#44
43.31.6
35.236.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.3
862
#14
61.71.4
58.860.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
503
#20
39.31.6
34.836.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
1189
#12
51.91.4
53.454.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
280
#64
25.61.6
22.624.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
2611
#49
32.31.4
32.734.1
Auto
Teleop
End