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Red44
35095.9
295940.6
437711.8
Blue5
44084.4
8309.2
7418.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41500206080100120445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.2
21.822.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.7
74
#22
18.93.6
18.414.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4377
#14
11.80.2
7.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
830
#26
9.23.6
16.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3509
#39
5.90.2
13.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4408
#32
4.43.6
14.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End