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Red18
438911.1
44533.0
365816.8
Blue3
43688.6
432713.9
354714.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26360206080100120183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.8
9.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
3547
#34
14.12.6
15.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4389
#29
11.10.8
10.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
4327
#21
13.92.6
8.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4453
#33
3.00.8
7.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
4368
#31
8.62.6
10.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End