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Red68
421611.6
353510.2
86242.3
Blue40
70317.5
440523.3
150422.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343702060801001201406840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
42.32.8
18.921.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
4405
#14
23.30.3
12.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4216
#20
11.62.8
8.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
1504
#22
22.80.3
16.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3535
#17
10.22.8
7.410.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
703
#30
17.50.3
7.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End