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Red104
86242.3
481926.7
70317.5
Blue12
34154.1
36685.4
150215.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533002040608010012014010412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
42.34.5
25.329.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.2
1502
#24
15.21.8
14.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4819
#11
26.74.5
16.921.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.3
3668
#34
5.41.8
8.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
703
#30
17.54.5
7.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
3415
#32
4.11.8
10.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End