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Red100
86242.3
91015.2
7036.3
Blue42
370715.7
150215.2
31424.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10049015010042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
42.30.2
41.641.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
314
#9
24.80.2
25.024.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
70
#1
36.30.2
35.635.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.7
15.70.3
15.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
910
#27
15.20.2
14.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1502
#24
15.20.2
15.415.2
Auto
Teleop
End